A value bet is a form of betting on a sports outcome whose probability the bookmaker has underestimated. Each bookmaker has a tool to calculate odds based on many parameters, mainly statistical data. However, some key match-related factors can be overlooked (motivation, importance, injuries, player form, etc.). Therefore, expert human analysis remains the best way to determine the odds. According to this view, Betting wins according to the value corresponding to the odds is considered inaccurate, both objectively and subjectively.
Example of a winning value bet
Let’s say we have a La Liga match between FC Barcelona and Levante, ranked 2nd and 19th respectively in the rankings. Bookies offer odds of 1.15 for FC Barcelona to win, meaning they believe Barca has an 87% chance of winning. However, based on previous confrontations and related factors, the possibility of Barcelona winning is almost certain.
Therefore, we think the odds for the underdog should be at least 95%, which equates to odds of around 1.05. Since Barcelona’s probability of winning according to our assessment is higher than the odds offered by the bookmaker, this is considered a Winning Value Bet. The larger the difference between these two percentages, the more profitable the bet.
Bets win by value in tennis and soccer
The concept of value betting is not only specific to football but also applies to tennis. The principle is the same: The larger the percentage difference between the odds offered by the bookmaker and your estimated winning probability, the more profitable the value bet is.
Where to find Value Bets?
Không có địa điểm cụ thể nào để bạn tìm kèo Cược thắng theo giá trị. Khó khăn thực sự nằm ở chỗ các nhà cái là những chuyên gia giàu kinh nghiệm, không dễ dàng để họ đưa ra tỷ lệ cược có thể thua lỗ. Họ tính toán cẩn thận các dữ liệu thống kê khác nhau trước khi đưa ra tỷ lệ cược. Tuy nhiên, với một chút nỗ lực và kinh nghiệm, bạn hoàn toàn có thể phát hiện ra các Cược thắng theo giá trị tại 30JILI.
How to calculate value bets
Value betting is a real advantage for bettors. This is one of the best ways to manage your capital over the long term. To find the best odds, you always need to analyze and have experience. There are two formulas to determine your Bet index: the percentage probability formula (100/Odds) and the win rate calculation formula (1/Win probability) x 100).
Value Betting and Combination Bets
While value-winning bets are where you calculate the true probability of a match outcome, combination bets are another option. Combination betting is when players use free bets or other promotions to hedge bets and ensure at least one side wins.
With combination betting, bettors can sign up with two different bookmakers and take part in both welcome offers with free bets. The player then uses the free bet or matched deposit to bet on the same match but selects opposing teams.
For example, if Barcelona plays Real Madrid, customers can choose Barca with one free bet and Madrid with another free bet, or even a third bet for a draw. Then, regardless of the outcome, the bettor wins without spending any personal money.
